Validation of the HCC-RESCUE score to predict hepatocellular carcinoma risk in Caucasian chronic hepatitis B patients under entecavir or tenofovir therapy
Journal of Viral Hepatitis, cilt.28, sa.5, ss.826-836, 2021 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus)
- Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
- Cilt numarası: 28 Sayı: 5
- Basım Tarihi: 2021
- Doi Numarası: 10.1111/jvh.13485
- Dergi Adı: Journal of Viral Hepatitis
- Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Academic Search Premier, BIOSIS, CAB Abstracts, EMBASE, MEDLINE, Veterinary Science Database
- Sayfa Sayıları: ss.826-836
- Anahtar Kelimeler: chronic hepatitis B, HCC‐, RESCUE, hepatocellular carcinoma, risk prediction
- Sağlık Bilimleri Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet
Özet
The HCC-RESCUE score was developed to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in Korean chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients under entecavir therapy. We aimed to validate the HCC-RESCUE score to predict HCC risk in Caucasian CHB patients under entecavir or tenofovir therapy and to compare the predictive performance of the HCC-RESCUE score with those of the CAMD, PAGE-B and modified PAGE-B (mPAGE-B) scores. The study included 647 nucleos(t)ide analogue-naive noncirrhotic and compensated/decompensated cirrhotic patients who had received entecavir or tenofovir for ≥6 months and did not develop HCC during the first 6 months of therapy. Patients with HCC-RESCUE scores ≤64, 65–84 and ≥85 points were classified into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups, respectively. The AUROCs of the HCC-RESCUE, CAMD, PAGE-B and mPAGE-B scores to predict HCC risk at 5 years were 0.875, 0.870, 0.866 and 0.880, and those at 10 years were 0.862, 0.845, 0.841 and 0.862, respectively (both p >.05). Cumulative HCC incidences at 5 years were 0.0%, 10.5% and 15.8%, and those at 10 years were 1.4%, 15.5% and 24.9%, respectively, in the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups based on the HCC-RESCUE score (both log rank p <.001). In the entecavir versus tenofovir cohorts, the AUROCs of the HCC-RESCUE score to predict HCC risk at 5 and 10 years were 0.831 versus 0.898 and 0.803 versus 0.910, respectively (both p >.05). The HCC-RESCUE score accurately predicted HCC risk in Caucasian CHB patients under entecavir or tenofovir therapy. A substantial proportion of patients can be dropped from HCC surveillance by using the HCC-RESCUE score.